{"id":999,"date":"2019-12-29T20:39:10","date_gmt":"2019-12-29T20:39:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.qfactor.com.au\/?p=999"},"modified":"2019-12-29T20:39:10","modified_gmt":"2019-12-29T20:39:10","slug":"principles-for-navigating-big-debt-crises-ray-dalio","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/?p=999","title":{"rendered":"Principles for Navigating Big Debt Crises"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Principles for Navigating Big Debt Crises is a great read, by a chap who has been there and survived (a couple of times). There are just a handful of investors who have been able to weather the economic storms of the past four decades and steer their firms to monumental returns. <\/p>\n\n\n<p>There are even fewer who have done that and established principles for investing, management, and professional growth that have become foundations of the financial industry. Ray\u00a0Dalio\u00a0is one of those people.<\/p>\n\n\n<p>Dalio\u00a0is the founder, Chairman and Co-Chief Investment Officer of Bridgewater Associates, which he started out of his two-bedroom apartment in New York in 1975. He grew the company into an investment firm that manages about $160 billion for approximately 350 global institutional clients.In his most <a href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.com.au\/gp\/offer-listing\/B07GLBHM48\/ref=as_li_tl?ie=UTF8&amp;camp=247&amp;creative=1211&amp;creativeASIN=B07GLBHM48&amp;linkCode=am2&amp;tag=qfactorinsigh-22&amp;linkId=9591c61b12069b3de318a2342cb8ef65\">recent book,<\/a>\u00a0<em>Principles for Navigating Big Debt Crises<\/em>,\u00a0Dalio\u00a0and his team at Bridgewater conducted extensive research into the economic events surrounding past debt crises, and how the firm was able to use that knowledge to anticipate the 2008 crisis. Below is an interview with\u00a0Dalio\u00a0about those events, and where he sees us now, heading into 2020. The follow is an excerpt from\u00a0C. Silvers&#8217; interview with Ray, conducted in late September, 2019.<\/p>\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed-amazon-kindle wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-amazon\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Big Debt Crises\" type=\"text\/html\" width=\"640\" height=\"550\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen style=\"max-width:100%\" src=\"https:\/\/read.amazon.com.au\/kp\/card?preview=inline&#038;linkCode=am2&#038;ref_=k4w_oembed_a6628Hpi3CkRCQ&#038;asin=B07GLBHM48&#038;tag=qfactorinsigh-22\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"mntl-sc-block_1-0-6\">Principles for Navigating Big Debt Crises: How will the Last Decade Shape the Next Two?<\/h3>\n\n\n<p><strong>Silver:&nbsp;<\/strong><em>If the last decade can be characterized as a global expansion built on massive debt issuance, productivity gains, increasing wealth and political gaps, what do the next two decades look like?<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n<p><strong>Dalio<\/strong>:&nbsp;There are four main&nbsp;forces&nbsp;that I look at to understand what is most likely to happen.<\/p>\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>First, the impact of&nbsp;technology&nbsp;on&nbsp;our productivity,&nbsp;lifestyles&nbsp;and employment.<\/li><li>Then the&nbsp;wealth gap and the social and political gap that is resulting from it.<\/li><li>Also, the&nbsp;economic&nbsp;cycles&nbsp;and&nbsp;the&nbsp;reduced effectiveness&nbsp;of monetary policy&nbsp;to be stimulative in the next economic downturn.<\/li><li>And the fourth big force will be&nbsp;the rise of China.<\/li><\/ol>\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Principles for Navigating Big Debt Crises: Technology Impacts<\/h4>\n\n\n<p>When I look at&nbsp;technology changes and their implications on&nbsp;productivity&nbsp;and jobs, I think&nbsp;it will&nbsp;be a&nbsp;big force&nbsp;that will&nbsp;provide us with&nbsp;the&nbsp;capacity to raise living standards for some, but&nbsp;will&nbsp;put&nbsp;a&nbsp;lot of people out of work&nbsp;and will&nbsp;widen&nbsp;the&nbsp;wealth&nbsp;gap. Figuring out how to deal with this force so we get the benefits of it without the harmful consequences of it will be one&nbsp;of&nbsp;our society\u2019s great challenges&nbsp;over the next 20 years.<\/p>\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Principles for Navigating Big Debt Crises: Wealth Gap Impacts<\/h4>\n\n\n<p>I believe that the wealth gap and the political gap that goes along with it will be a big, bad force in the next economic downturn, which will certainly occur in the early part of the next 20 year period, and that it will not be as easily negated by central banks because their powers will be less because they can\u2019t lower interest rates much and quantitative easing won\u2019t be as effective.<\/p>\n\n\n<p><strong>Dalio<\/strong>: It appears to me that we will almost certainly enter a period that will have larger government budget deficits that central banks will have to print money to fund, which will require coordination between fiscal and monetary policy that might be challenging in the highly polarized political environment. So, we will face that challenge. How it\u2019s handled will have a big effect. I can\u2019t be optimistic about the political cooperation that will exist to come up with the right fiscal policies and I can\u2019t be optimistic about the cooperation that we will see between fiscal and monetary policies. With that 20-year perspective that you\u2019re asking me to take, I think it\u2019s likely that the low or negative interest rates and the printing of money to finance the deficits will make it undesirable to hold one\u2019s wealth in dollar, euro and yen denominated debt, and that will have the effect of reducing these currencies&#8217; roles as reserve currencies. What will replace them? While I\u2019m not sure, I do expect gold, China\u2019s yuan and digital currencies to be more important.<\/p>\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed-amazon-kindle wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-amazon\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Big Debt Crises\" type=\"text\/html\" width=\"640\" height=\"550\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen style=\"max-width:100%\" src=\"https:\/\/read.amazon.com.au\/kp\/card?preview=inline&#038;linkCode=am2&#038;ref_=k4w_oembed_a6628Hpi3CkRCQ&#038;asin=B07GLBHM48&#038;tag=qfactorinsigh-22\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Principles for Navigating Big Debt Crises: The Rise of China<\/h4>\n\n\n<p><strong>Silver<\/strong>: We&#8217;re obviously in a trade war with China right now, but the underlying issues that brought us here have been brewing for many years. How will China&#8217;s rise play out in the next two decades?<\/p>\n\n\n<p><strong>Dalio:<\/strong> Regarding the rise of China, while that will be a big force that will change the world order, what exactly it means will depend on how well it\u2019s handled which will depend on the wisdom of the leaderships of both countries. There is a concept called the Thucydides Trap, which means that in history over the last 500 years there have been 16 times that a rising power has challenged an existing power. We now have China challenging the United States. Twelve of those times that has brought about war of some kind. I can\u2019t comment on whether there will be outright war, but I think there will be a fair amount of conflict between China and the United States. We will be in a world where it is likely that China will be larger and more important in most dimensions than the U.S. If wise leaders figure out how to make it a win-win relationship, it can be great, but it\u2019s hard for me to be optimistic.<\/p>\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Growth of Income Inequality<\/h4>\n\n\n<p><strong>Silver<\/strong>: You\u2019ve written a lot about the increase in income inequality and the rise of conflict between the rich and the poor here in the U.S. and around the world. Is capitalism, as we know it at least, at risk?<\/p>\n\n\n<p><strong>Dalio<\/strong>: Yes. I believe that it either has to be reformed to be fairer\u2014in other words provide more equal opportunity and more tolerable economic outcomes for more people\u2014or there will be a harmful big move to socialism that will probably go so far that it will hurt the effectiveness of the economy. I think it is pretty obvious that because of the rising wealth\/income polarity, we are entering an era of greater internal conflict.<\/p>\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed-amazon-kindle wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-amazon\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Big Debt Crises\" type=\"text\/html\" width=\"640\" height=\"550\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen style=\"max-width:100%\" src=\"https:\/\/read.amazon.com.au\/kp\/card?preview=inline&#038;linkCode=am2&#038;ref_=k4w_oembed_a6628Hpi3CkRCQ&#038;asin=B07GLBHM48&#038;tag=qfactorinsigh-22\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Impact of Climate Change<\/h4>\n\n\n<p><strong>Silver<\/strong>: How about climate change? How will that shape the global economy in the next two decades?<\/p>\n\n\n<p><strong>Dalio<\/strong>: At minimum, climate change is going to be an expensive disruptor; at a maximum it will be much worse. It will have the effect of changing areas that were once productive and diminishing them, particularly in agricultural production. It will bring about sea level changes that will impact infrastructure spending. It will create larger and more frequent storms that will lead to greater damage. It will also affect migration and where people will want to live. It could be worse than that. I think it will lead to technological changes that will be focused on how to deal with it effectively. I don\u2019t yet know what these will look like.<\/p>\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed-amazon-kindle wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-amazon\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Big Debt Crises\" type=\"text\/html\" width=\"640\" height=\"550\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen style=\"max-width:100%\" src=\"https:\/\/read.amazon.com.au\/kp\/card?preview=inline&#038;linkCode=am2&#038;ref_=k4w_oembed_a6628Hpi3CkRCQ&#038;asin=B07GLBHM48&#038;tag=qfactorinsigh-22\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What can History Teach us About the Future?<\/h4>\n\n\n<p><strong>Silver<\/strong>: Beyond technology and climate change, is there an analogous period in history that we can look at to get an idea of what\u2019s to come in the next two decades?<\/p>\n\n\n<p><strong>Dalio<\/strong>: The late 1930s was the most recent analogous period because it was the last time there was the confluence of these four forces. The parallels are uncanny. From 1929\u20131932 we had a debt crisis in which interest rates went to zero which led to printing money. In 2008 we had a debt crisis in which interest rates went to zero which led to printing money. In both cases this pushed stock prices and the economy higher, which benefited the rich relative to the poor, which led to increased populism or both the left and the right, which led to greater internal and external conflict. In both cases there were rising world powers challenging the existing world power.<\/p>\n\n\n<p>To be clear, I\u2019m not saying that we are destined to have the same outcomes as in the 1930s because I don\u2019t believe that to be the case. I am saying that the cause:effect relationships are clear, so that if we have an economic downturn with the large wealth and political gaps and central banks not having the same powers to reduce the down turns, and we have a big rising power challenging an existing world power\u2014and we do have all of these things\u2014we will have great risks that will test the wisdom of our leaders to handle them well.<\/p>\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Our Recommendations<\/h3>\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Read Ben Grahams <a href=\"https:\/\/www.qfactor.com.au\/investing\/the-intelligent-investor\/\">&#8220;the Intelligent investor&#8221;<\/a><\/li><\/ol>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Principles for Navigating Big Debt Crises is a great read, by a chap who has been there and survived (a couple of times). There are just a handful of investors who have been able to weather the economic storms of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":1002,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"content-type":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[11,17],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-999","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-investing","category-master-class","clearfix"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Principles for Navigating Big Debt Crises - Murray Slatter<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Principles for Navigating Big Debt Crises!. Ray Dalio has survived, more than once. Not many investors have done so &amp; enjoyed monumental returns in doing so\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/?p=999\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Principles for Navigating Big Debt Crises - Murray Slatter\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Principles for Navigating Big Debt Crises!. Ray Dalio has survived, more than once. Not many investors have done so &amp; enjoyed monumental returns in doing so\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/?p=999\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Murray Slatter\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2019-12-29T20:39:10+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"8 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/murrayslatter.me\\\/?p=999#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/murrayslatter.me\\\/?p=999\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/murrayslatter.me\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/13a75364f9e525515f00e93f59c4fd10\"},\"headline\":\"Principles for Navigating Big Debt Crises\",\"datePublished\":\"2019-12-29T20:39:10+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/murrayslatter.me\\\/?p=999\"},\"wordCount\":1624,\"commentCount\":0,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/murrayslatter.me\\\/?p=999#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"\",\"articleSection\":[\"Investing\",\"Master Class\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/murrayslatter.me\\\/?p=999#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/murrayslatter.me\\\/?p=999\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/murrayslatter.me\\\/?p=999\",\"name\":\"Principles for Navigating Big Debt Crises - Murray Slatter\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/murrayslatter.me\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/murrayslatter.me\\\/?p=999#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/murrayslatter.me\\\/?p=999#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"\",\"datePublished\":\"2019-12-29T20:39:10+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/murrayslatter.me\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/13a75364f9e525515f00e93f59c4fd10\"},\"description\":\"Principles for Navigating Big Debt Crises!. Ray Dalio has survived, more than once. Not many investors have done so & enjoyed monumental returns in doing so\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/murrayslatter.me\\\/?p=999#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/murrayslatter.me\\\/?p=999\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/murrayslatter.me\\\/?p=999#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"\",\"contentUrl\":\"\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/murrayslatter.me\\\/?p=999#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/murrayslatter.me\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Principles for Navigating Big Debt Crises\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/murrayslatter.me\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/murrayslatter.me\\\/\",\"name\":\"Murray Slatter\",\"description\":\"Empowering Good teams to be Great!\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\\\/\\\/murrayslatter.me\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/murrayslatter.me\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/13a75364f9e525515f00e93f59c4fd10\",\"name\":\"admin\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/8aa0f1751d211918ccc2037a8b3ce22431cec7bef7edf9c993cee70e20717c88?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/8aa0f1751d211918ccc2037a8b3ce22431cec7bef7edf9c993cee70e20717c88?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/8aa0f1751d211918ccc2037a8b3ce22431cec7bef7edf9c993cee70e20717c88?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"admin\"},\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/murrayslatter.me\\\/?author=3\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Principles for Navigating Big Debt Crises - Murray Slatter","description":"Principles for Navigating Big Debt Crises!. Ray Dalio has survived, more than once. Not many investors have done so & enjoyed monumental returns in doing so","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/?p=999","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Principles for Navigating Big Debt Crises - Murray Slatter","og_description":"Principles for Navigating Big Debt Crises!. Ray Dalio has survived, more than once. Not many investors have done so & enjoyed monumental returns in doing so","og_url":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/?p=999","og_site_name":"Murray Slatter","article_published_time":"2019-12-29T20:39:10+00:00","author":"admin","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"admin","Est. reading time":"8 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/?p=999#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/?p=999"},"author":{"name":"admin","@id":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/#\/schema\/person\/13a75364f9e525515f00e93f59c4fd10"},"headline":"Principles for Navigating Big Debt Crises","datePublished":"2019-12-29T20:39:10+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/?p=999"},"wordCount":1624,"commentCount":0,"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/?p=999#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"","articleSection":["Investing","Master Class"],"inLanguage":"en","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/?p=999#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/?p=999","url":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/?p=999","name":"Principles for Navigating Big Debt Crises - Murray Slatter","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/?p=999#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/?p=999#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"","datePublished":"2019-12-29T20:39:10+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/#\/schema\/person\/13a75364f9e525515f00e93f59c4fd10"},"description":"Principles for Navigating Big Debt Crises!. Ray Dalio has survived, more than once. Not many investors have done so & enjoyed monumental returns in doing so","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/?p=999#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/?p=999"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en","@id":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/?p=999#primaryimage","url":"","contentUrl":""},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/?p=999#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Principles for Navigating Big Debt Crises"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/#website","url":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/","name":"Murray Slatter","description":"Empowering Good teams to be Great!","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/#\/schema\/person\/13a75364f9e525515f00e93f59c4fd10","name":"admin","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en","@id":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/8aa0f1751d211918ccc2037a8b3ce22431cec7bef7edf9c993cee70e20717c88?s=96&d=mm&r=g","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/8aa0f1751d211918ccc2037a8b3ce22431cec7bef7edf9c993cee70e20717c88?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/8aa0f1751d211918ccc2037a8b3ce22431cec7bef7edf9c993cee70e20717c88?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"admin"},"url":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/?author=3"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":5282,"url":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/?p=5282","url_meta":{"origin":999,"position":0},"title":"Credit Cycles, Long Run and Short RunSurfing the Super-Cycles","author":"Murray Slatter","date":"May 30, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"From Kondratiev\u2019s Long Waves to Ray Dalio\u2019s Big Debt CycleCredit Cycles, Long Run and Short Run Why study century-spanning economic tides at all?Because the very forces that lift our portfolios in the good times are the same ones that can strand them on the reef when the water rushes out.\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/murrayslatter.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/6ea6bf94-19cd-440b-8594-5c3f6499f6d3.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/murrayslatter.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/6ea6bf94-19cd-440b-8594-5c3f6499f6d3.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/murrayslatter.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/6ea6bf94-19cd-440b-8594-5c3f6499f6d3.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/murrayslatter.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/6ea6bf94-19cd-440b-8594-5c3f6499f6d3.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/murrayslatter.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/6ea6bf94-19cd-440b-8594-5c3f6499f6d3.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":1109,"url":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/?p=1109","url_meta":{"origin":999,"position":1},"title":"Principles by Ray Dalio","author":"admin","date":"January 25, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Ray Dalio must be doing something right. After all, he is one of the wealthiest people in the world - he atests - guided by these Principles for Investing. What you will learn from this book summary, building a successful business isn\u2019t rocket science. According to the Dalio, anyone can\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Business Leadership&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Business Leadership","link":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/?cat=16"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":3945,"url":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/?p=3945","url_meta":{"origin":999,"position":2},"title":"A Wealthy Life &#8211; Without the bumps","author":"Murray Slatter","date":"September 23, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"I\u2019m thrilled to welcome you to my corner of the web where I share my experiences, strategies, and insights on investing, business, and personal finance. I\u2019ve spent decades honing my craft in multiple areas\u2014investing, consulting, and helping businesses scale\u2014and now, I\u2019m excited to share that knowledge with others through my\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Investing&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Investing","link":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/?cat=11"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/murrayslatter.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Social-Impact-Fund.jpg?fit=720%2C405&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/murrayslatter.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Social-Impact-Fund.jpg?fit=720%2C405&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/murrayslatter.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Social-Impact-Fund.jpg?fit=720%2C405&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/murrayslatter.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Social-Impact-Fund.jpg?fit=720%2C405&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":4895,"url":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/?p=4895","url_meta":{"origin":999,"position":3},"title":"Jan 2025 Newslettter: Global New Order: Navigating the Inflection Point","author":"Murray Slatter","date":"December 31, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Strategic Opportunities in a Changing World Order The world is changing! Not incrementally, but fundamentally. We find ourselves in a period defined not by cyclical fluctuations, but by structural transformations. Navigating the Inflection Point. These shifts are not subtle tremors on the surface; they are tectonic movements that are redefining\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Monthly Newsletter&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Monthly Newsletter","link":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/?cat=97"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/murrayslatter.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Navigating-the-Changing-world-Order.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/murrayslatter.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Navigating-the-Changing-world-Order.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/murrayslatter.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Navigating-the-Changing-world-Order.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/murrayslatter.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Navigating-the-Changing-world-Order.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/murrayslatter.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Navigating-the-Changing-world-Order.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":4886,"url":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/?p=4886","url_meta":{"origin":999,"position":4},"title":"The Urgency to Act \u2013 Time is of the Essence","author":"Murray Slatter","date":"January 1, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"In moments of global transition, timing isn\u2019t just important\u2014it\u2019s everything. The Central Coast stands at a rare inflection point, shaped by the convergence of global megatrends, regional readiness, and economic necessity. These windows of opportunity are fleeting, and history has shown us that regions and leaders who act decisively in\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Supplimentry Insights to Newsletter&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Supplimentry Insights to Newsletter","link":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/?cat=111"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/murrayslatter.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Navigating-the-Changing-world-Order.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/murrayslatter.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Navigating-the-Changing-world-Order.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/murrayslatter.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Navigating-the-Changing-world-Order.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/murrayslatter.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Navigating-the-Changing-world-Order.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/murrayslatter.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Navigating-the-Changing-world-Order.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":3986,"url":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/?p=3986","url_meta":{"origin":999,"position":5},"title":"Investment Myths Debunked","author":"Murray Slatter","date":"September 26, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Common Misconceptions That Hold You Back When it comes to investing, there is no shortage of advice\u2014some good, some bad, and a lot of it rooted in myths that can hold you back from achieving financial success. Unfortunately, many would-be investors let these myths keep them from making informed decisions,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Investing&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Investing","link":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/?cat=11"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/murrayslatter.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Social-Impact-Fund.jpg?fit=720%2C405&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/murrayslatter.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Social-Impact-Fund.jpg?fit=720%2C405&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/murrayslatter.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Social-Impact-Fund.jpg?fit=720%2C405&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/murrayslatter.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Social-Impact-Fund.jpg?fit=720%2C405&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/999","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=999"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/999\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=999"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=999"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=999"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}