{"id":5239,"date":"2025-05-19T08:55:32","date_gmt":"2025-05-18T22:55:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/?p=5239"},"modified":"2025-05-19T08:57:00","modified_gmt":"2025-05-18T22:57:00","slug":"what-i-am-investing-in-and-why-booking-holdings-nasdaq-bkng","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/?p=5239","title":{"rendered":"What I Am Investing In and Why: Booking Holdings (NASDAQ: BKNG)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">1. How I Discovered Booking Holdings<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I first heard about <strong>Booking Holdings<\/strong> during the early stages of the <strong>COVID-19 pandemic<\/strong>, on a podcast that was unpacking the carnage unfolding in the <strong>travel and hospitality sector<\/strong>. Airlines were grounded, hotels were empty, and most travel stocks were getting hammered. But where others saw collapse, I saw an opportunity in patience.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It was <strong>April 2020<\/strong>, and I remembered Booking Holdings from its earlier days as <strong>Priceline Group<\/strong>\u2014a name familiar to me not only as an investor, but as a frequent international traveler. I had used their platforms\u2014<strong>Booking.com<\/strong>, <strong>Agoda<\/strong>, <strong>Priceline<\/strong>, and <strong>KAYAK<\/strong>\u2014on trips over the years. The brands were trusted, easy to use, and increasingly indispensable to the modern travel experience.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And so, I began to dig deeper.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2. The Spark: When Disruption Meets Durability<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Travel, at that moment, was one of the most <strong>dislocated and emotionally charged sectors<\/strong> of the economy. The headlines were grim. The public sentiment was fear. And yet, through a long-term lens, this looked like the kind of moment that Howard Marks writes about: <em>\u201cYou don\u2019t buy good things at any price\u2014you buy good things well.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I believed that the <strong>pandemic would have a 2\u20133 year impact<\/strong>, not a permanent one. Travel may pause, but it wouldn\u2019t disappear. Human connection, global business, and cultural curiosity don\u2019t vanish\u2014they rebound.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">3. My Investment Entry<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">So, on <strong>April 8th, 2020<\/strong>\u2014a date that turned out to be the bottom of the market for many travel stocks\u2014I made an initial investment in Booking Holdings. Total fluke? Perhaps. But the underlying conviction wasn\u2019t: I believed that Booking\u2019s scale, brand portfolio, and network effects would make it <strong>one of the first and strongest to rebound<\/strong> once global movement resumed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Over time, I continued to <strong>dollar-cost average<\/strong> into the position. I\u2019ve now deployed approximately <strong>3% of my total capital<\/strong> into Booking Holdings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">4. The Outcome So Far<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The results speak for themselves:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>200% total return<\/strong> across my cost basis<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A <strong>compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14.8%<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resilient margins, renewed growth, and a structurally stronger business post-COVID<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And perhaps most important: I still believe the best is ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">5. Why Booking Holdings? The Business Behind the Brand<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Booking Holdings is not just a travel agency\u2014it\u2019s <strong>an infrastructure layer for global travel commerce<\/strong>. Their brands are category leaders:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Booking.com<\/strong> \u2013 Online accommodation juggernaut, particularly strong in Europe.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Priceline<\/strong> \u2013 Discount and deals-focused travel services, mainly in North America.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Agoda<\/strong> \u2013 Dominant in Asia-Pacific for accommodation and flights.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>KAYAK<\/strong> \u2013 Metasearch engine powering millions of price comparisons.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>OpenTable<\/strong> \u2013 The go-to for restaurant reservations in the U.S. and beyond.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Wider ecosystem<\/strong> \u2013 Travel insurance, advertising, SaaS for restaurants, and more.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">What ties this all together is <strong>platform leverage and customer loyalty<\/strong>. When a traveler books flights, rooms, cars, and even dinner reservations through one ecosystem, <strong>that data advantage and margin capture becomes compounding<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">6. What Makes Them Durable<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Booking Holdings\u2019 moat is built on:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Global scale and localization<\/strong>: operating across dozens of countries with tailored offerings.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Brand equity<\/strong>: Booking.com and Priceline are trusted and top-of-mind.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Two-sided network effects<\/strong>: Connecting millions of travelers with accommodation providers, restaurants, and experiences.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Strong unit economics<\/strong>: High margin software\/affiliate model over asset-heavy hotel chains or airlines.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Their continued investment in <strong>AI-driven personalization, mobile UX, and supply optimization<\/strong> also gives them staying power in a rapidly digitizing sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"640\" height=\"318\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/murrayslatter.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/output.png?resize=640%2C318&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-5241\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/murrayslatter.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/output.png?resize=1024%2C508&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/murrayslatter.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/output.png?resize=300%2C149&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/murrayslatter.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/output.png?resize=768%2C381&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/murrayslatter.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/output.png?resize=1536%2C762&amp;ssl=1 1536w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/murrayslatter.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/output.png?resize=2048%2C1016&amp;ssl=1 2048w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/murrayslatter.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/output.png?resize=700%2C347&amp;ssl=1 700w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/murrayslatter.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/output.png?resize=520%2C258&amp;ssl=1 520w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/murrayslatter.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/output.png?resize=360%2C179&amp;ssl=1 360w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/murrayslatter.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/output.png?resize=250%2C124&amp;ssl=1 250w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/murrayslatter.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/output.png?resize=100%2C50&amp;ssl=1 100w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/murrayslatter.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/output.png?w=1280&amp;ssl=1 1280w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/murrayslatter.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/output.png?w=1920&amp;ssl=1 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Latest Earnings<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As at the 19th May 2025, latest earnings call, Bookings reported a ~$25bn annual revenue (quarterly revenue growth of 7.8% yoy), which indicates a approx 5% of total market share. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">7. Role in My Portfolio<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Booking sits in my <strong>G1 Fund \u2013 Core Compounders<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It represents <strong>long-term secular tailwinds<\/strong>, global diversification, and the return of discretionary consumer spend. It\u2019s not just a recovery play anymore\u2014it\u2019s now proving itself to be a <strong>compounding platform business<\/strong> in its own right.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">8. What I\u2019m Watching<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Looking ahead, I\u2019m watching:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Continued recovery and <strong>normalization of international travel<\/strong>, particularly in Asia-Pacific.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Margin expansion<\/strong> as scale efficiencies from post-COVID restructuring take hold.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Expansion into <strong>ancillary services<\/strong> (e.g., insurance, advertising, dynamic packages).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>AI-enabled recommendations and customer retention<\/strong> tools.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Regulatory environments in Europe and data privacy implications.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">9. What Would Break My Thesis<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The risks I monitor include:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>A <strong>structural shift away from third-party aggregators<\/strong> (e.g., direct booking gains).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Increased regulation<\/strong> around fees, advertising transparency, or algorithmic pricing.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Major platform competition<\/strong> from Google Travel or Apple-native booking tools.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Sustained macro shocks (e.g., global recessions, geopolitical instability affecting mobility).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">However, even in that context, Booking Holdings has consistently <strong>adapted, acquired, and led<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Final Reflection<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Booking Holdings is the kind of business that looks boring on the surface\u2014but beneath it lies a beautifully complex, deeply optimized <strong>global engine for travel commerce<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If my children ever ask me why I invested in a travel company at the peak of a pandemic, I\u2019ll tell them: <em>\u201cBecause I believed in the return of wonder. And when the world started moving again, I wanted to be invested in the rails that helped people go.\u201d<\/em> <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">also<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;<em>The Market is often irrational, drive either by Extreme Fear or Extreme Greed, learn to look for these signs<\/em>&#8221; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>1. How I Discovered Booking Holdings I first heard about Booking Holdings during the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic, on a podcast that was unpacking the carnage unfolding in the travel and hospitality sector. Airlines were grounded, hotels were [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":5240,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"content-type":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5239","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-investing","clearfix"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>What I Am Investing In and Why: Booking Holdings (NASDAQ: BKNG) - Murray Slatter<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/murrayslatter.me\/?p=5239\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"What I Am Investing In and Why: Booking Holdings (NASDAQ: BKNG) - Murray Slatter\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"1. 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How I Discovered Booking Holdings I first heard about Booking Holdings during the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic, on a podcast that was unpacking the carnage unfolding in the travel and hospitality sector. 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